July House Update: Democrats Push The Battlefield Into Red Territory
In February, when it was looking like Bernie Sanders would be the Democratic nominee, before COVID-19 and George Floyd’s death, but after the killing of ISIS leader Baghdadi, the USMCA trade deal that de-escalated the Chinese trade war, and Trump’s acquittal by the Senate, thing were looking up for the Grand Old Party. The question […]
Can Democrats Defy The Demographics and Win in Iowa?
In the ever-shifting 2020 election cycle, one crucial state, with six electoral votes, a competitive Senate election, and three competitive House races, has proven the most difficult to gauge. The Hawkeye State, Iowa, has a political situation unlike any other state. The state is known for its farms and ruralness, has a high rate of […]
June House Update: A Few Winning Battles For Team Red, But Secured Victory Near For Team Blue
It’s been about two months since our last House update. Since then, the situaton in 15 congressional districts has changed enough to warrant ratings changes. District (Incumbent, Party) Old Rating New Rating AZ-2 (Kirkpatrick, D) Likely D Safe D CA-10 (Harder, D) Likely D Safe D CO-6 (Crow, D) Safe D Likely D FL-26 (Powell, […]
Introducing Your Presidential Frontrunner: Joe Biden
The stage has been set for the most intense, brutal, and crazy election since 1860. The 2020 presidential campaign will be an event unlike anything this country has seen in its almost 250 years of existence. If Trump’s impeachment and acquittal, the first Republican to have been acquitted of impeachment charges, and Joe Biden’s epic […]
Not All Leans Are The Same: My 4-Scale Rating System Explained
Something I’ve noticed about people’s responses to articles on this website is an apparent misunderstanding as to how my race ratings work. I haven’t really devoted a full article yet to how my rating system works, and as the election draws near, I want to rectify this. For every election for the Electoral College, Senate, […]
May Senate Update: Republicans Catch A Few Breaks
Of the little political action that has taken place recently, a lot of it has applied to down ballot races. One example is Mike Garcia, a Republican, winning by 10 points in a congressional district that Hillary Clinton carried by 7 points and was thought to be getting bluer. This is a big win for […]
Garcia Flying High Into Tuesday’s Special Election
In 6 days, a congressional special election will finish in California’s 25th district, north of Los Angeles. It will largely be a vote-by-mail election, as in-person voting options are limited due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Republicans hope to stave off the blue tide in California by flipping the seat, while Democrats seek to confirm their […]
What Woman Would Be Biden’s Best Running Mate?
Chances are you’ve heard Joe Biden’s pledge to pick a female running mate. This is a smart idea, the prospect of the first female VP being sworn in on January 2021 gives a new level of excitement to Biden’s campaign among the Democratic base. However, it’s been radio silence from Biden’s campaign so far as […]
As Coronavirus Takes Hold, Republican’s Chances of Flipping the House Diminish
As the coronavirus pandemic halts candidate’s fundraising, and the results of the California jungle primary become finalized, I am amending my ratings in 17 congressional districts. District Old Rating New Rating AZ-1 (O’Halleran, D) Lean D Likely D CA-21 (Cox, D) Lean D Toss-Up CA-22 (Nunes, R) Likely R Safe R CA-25 (OPEN, D) Lean […]
Revisiting the Presidential Race After Biden and Coronavirus
The scene of the presidential race is changing noticeably. Joe Biden has all but locked up the Democratic nomination, just as the coronavirus pandemic is taking a critical toll on America. It’s safe to say that this changes a few things. I am making 5 ratings changes to our electoral college map. State/District(Electoral Votes) Old […]