2022 Senate Ratings

As election season winds down, we enter a new chapter in politics. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20th, 2021. Except for special elections and candidacy declarations, there won’t be much going on that will impact elections. I’ll post for the elections that do happen, such as the Georgia runoffs. I will also post […]

Georgia Runoff Ratings

If you live in Georgia, and you’re looking for a break from politics now that we know who will be the next President, then I have bad news for you. Control of the U.S. Senate hangs in the balance, and Georgia will decide who it falls to. Get ready for a holiday season full of […]

How Accurate Was Toss-Up Central?

Votes are still being counted in races all across the country. However, we have a pretty good idea of how each race will go. Joe Biden is the projected winner of the 2020 Presidential Election, winning 306 Electoral Votes to Trump’s 232. This is the first election cycle Toss-Up Central has covered. It’s a good […]

2020 Election Night Watch Guide

After a brutal year of unprecedented tribulations, and a campaign that rivals 2000 and 2016 in its turbulence and senselessness, the big day is finally here. Will Mitch McConnell remain Senate Majority Leader, obstructing a lot of the Democratic agenda, or will Chuck Schumer lead the upper chamber in 2021, opening the floodgates for change? […]

The Final Predictions

The Electoral College State/District (Electoral Votes) Old Rating New Rating Colorado (9) Likely Biden Safe Biden ME-2 (1) Toss-Up Lean Trump Missouri (10) Safe Trump Likely Trump NE-2 (1) Toss-Up Lean Biden North Carolina (15) Toss-Up Lean Biden I predict a Joe Biden victory. Biden will win 334 Electoral Votes, and Trump will win 204 […]

Ratings Changes: Thinning The Toss-Up Column

As Election Day quickly approaches, I’ve started sifting through the Toss-Up races and trying to pick favorites. I don’t want to leave any race in Toss-Up on Election Day, that would be a cop-out. The News Barrage Three of major events have occurred in the last few weeks. Usually I post one article every two […]

The Congressional Districts Biden Could Flip

There are 30 congressional districts represented by Democrats where Donald Trump won more votes than Hillary Clinton. There are only 6 Republican-held districts where Clinton prevailed. In theory, Republicans have more room to grow in the U.S. House. Let’s take a closer look. Where Biden Will Flip Democrat-Held Congressional Districts A lot of the congressional […]

What Does A Trump Comeback Look Like?

Over the last few months, I have been very pessimistic about Trump’s chances to win re-election. Trump has gone past the point of no return for many Americans. But I have said that if he campaigns smartly, appealing to everyone that he can, he can stage a legitimate comeback. Now that the RNC is over, […]

The Electoral Map Shifts: Biden Likely To Win, The Senate Is A Toss-Up

Last week on this website, I said that I would be surprised if Trump wins re-election. Polls just keep getting worse for him, worse than they ever were in 2016 when he won by winning three crucial Rust Belt states by less than one percentage point over Clinton. Polls show a majority of Americans agree […]