January Democrat Primary Update: And Then There Were 12
New Jersey Senator Cory Booker dropped out of the presidential race Monday. This comes hot off the heels of former HUD Secretary Julian Castro and self-help author Marianne Williamson also dropping out earlier this year. Castro and Booker follow in Kamala Harris’s footsteps; candidates of color who look great and charismatic on paper but are […]
Why The Following Democratic Ticket Would Be The Most Electable
There’s been a lot of talk throughout the past year about “electability” in the Democratic primary. More Democrat voters than ever say a candidate’s ability to flip the Oval Office blue is the most important factor in their decision of who to vote for. So this is an important question: What Democrat ticket would be […]
End of the Decade House Ratings Changes
The events these last couple of weeks have had large impacts on the battle for the House. The most impactful of these is North Carolina re-drawing its Congressional districts to make them more fair to Democrats. This is guaranteed to give Democrats 2 additional House seats, throwing a monkey wrench in the Republican’s plan to […]
December Democrat Primary Update: JOE BIDEN Once Again the FRONTRUNNER, Kamala Out
Kamala Out Some very, very big news in the Democrat primary. Kamala Harris, on Tuesday December 3rd, exactly 2 months before the Iowa caucus, dropped out of the presidential race. Once considered to be a frontrunner, her campaign didn’t even see 2020. Before, it was hard to imagine a Harris-less Democrat primary. Now, it is […]
State Legislative Elections in Virginia: What Do They Say for 2020?
On November 5, Democrats gained eight seats in the Virginia General Assembly, 2 in the 40-member Senate, and 6 in the 100-member House, flipping the General Assembly to Democrat control. The year of the 400th anniversary of the Virginia House of Burgesses, essentially the starting point of the Commonwealth, the most liberal government Virginia has […]
A Look at The Democrat Primary 76 Days Out from Iowa
After Louisiana wrapped up its Governor race last night, the last major election of the decade, we turn to the Iowa Caucus, on February 3rd, 2020. Some unexpected developments have occurred since we last looked at the state of the primary. I’ll elaborate below. Ryan and Beto Out, Patrick and Bloomberg In: A Timeline This […]
My Money’s on Edwards for Louisiana Governor
This Saturday, the last major election of the year will take place, but it’s certainly not least. Over $10 million has been spent and nasty labels thrown around in the Louisiana Governor race, one which almost anyone in elections will tell you is a Toss-Up. As the results from the first round of voting came […]
A Year of Excellence for Toss-Up Central
The big election night this year was last night. Say what you want about how it bodes for either party, one thing that it is very good for is this very website, Toss-Up Central. My accuracy throughout the year, and especially tonight, shows our website can compete with the most popular pundits in the field […]
November 5th Election Preview
Tomorrow, important governor elections will take place in Kentucky and Mississippi, as well as state legislative elections in Virginia that could determine the state’s political future. There are also many local elections taking place all around the country, such as the election for mayor of Philadelphia and New Jersey State House. Check to see if […]
October Congressional Ratings Changes
House Ratings Changes Since I last made a post devoted to Congressional Ratings changes late last July, situations have changed enough in 14 Congressional districts to warrant ratings changes. Most of these changes are for local and candidate-specific reasons, so they don’t say much about the national environment. District Old Rating New Rating AL-1 Likely […]