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3 Days Until Round 1 in Louisiana

Let’s lay down the ground rules: In Louisiana’s election system for most races except the presidential race, all candidates from all parties participate in the same primary, held, in this year, on October 12th. If one candidate gets more than 50% of the vote, they win right then and there. If not, the 2 candidates […]

Revisiting The 13 Keys To The White House

I think it’s time to re-visit the fundamentals of the presidential race, and break out Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys to the White House once again. For those unaware, Lichtman, an American University professor, created a system that has predicted the popular vote winner in every election since 1980. He also predicted Trump would be impeached […]

My Proposal to Fix the Electoral College

Note: This article is very opinionated, and also contains a lot of math. If you are easily offended or confused, you may want to just skim through this article, if you read it at all. There’s been a lot of talk lately about if we should do away with the current electoral college system, where […]

North Carolina Special Election Night Watch Guide

7:30 PM EST Tuesday, results will begin coming in for two special elections to the House of Representatives from North Carolina. Two vacancies will be filled. We will start with NC-3, the least competitive of the two. I am moving this race from Safe Republican to Likely Republican. This district voted for Trump by 23 […]

This is Turning Out to Be a Heck of a Week in Elections

Special Elections in Wisconsin, Georgia Republican Congressman Sean Duffy will resign in September. His wife is expecting their 9th child, but a complication related to the baby’s heart has been detected. He’s resigning to take care of his baby. It wouldn’t surprise me if he returned to politics sometime in the next decade, if all […]

And Then There Were 19.

Governor Jay Inslee of Washington has dropped his no-chance bid for president. He announced it during an interview with Rachel Maddow. He said quite plainly “It’s becoming clear that I’m not going to be carrying the ball. I’m not going to be the president, so I’m withdrawing tonight from the race.” He ran a campaign […]

And Then There Were… 20?

John Hickenlooper, as anticipated, dropped his struggling presidential bid Thursday. Now all eyes are on him to see if he will run for Senate in Colorado. He’s probably the best candidate the Democrats have got in their effort to flip the Senate seat next year. But were here to talk about the presidency. Just as […]

How Competitive Is The House in 2020? A Roadmap For Republicans

At this point in the election cycle, any result between a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress, and the Democrats doing the same thing are all well within the realm of possibility. I’ve discussed a lot about the Presidency and Senate, but not so much the House. The first step for […]

With 49 Days To Go, a Favorite Emerges in NC-9

District Old Rating New Rating NC-9 Vacant Toss-Up Lean Republican The congressional re-do election between Dan McCready (D) and Dan Bishop (R), AKA “The Battle of the Dans” is one of the few marquee elections this year. It’s the only competitive congressional race this year, and thus money is flowing in. The candidates have raised […]