Major Elections Tomorrow: Chicago Mayor, NYC Public Advocate, CT State Legislature
Chicago Mayor Chicago’s mayor likely won’t be decided tomorrow. In the wake of incumbent mayor Rahm Emmanuel not seeking re-election, 14 candidates have declared, and unless one of them gets 50%, there will be a runoff election between the top two vote getters on April 2. With such a crowded field, candidates may only need […]
This is Turning Out to Be One Heck of a Day in Elections: 2/19/19
Let’s start off with the big news. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is coming back for more. He declared a 2nd presidential bid this morning. This announcement came as a surprise to me, mainly due to age. He would be 79 during his first inauguration, smashing the old record of 73, set by Ronald Reagan. By […]
2020/2021 Governor Ratings
If you want to see the logic behind these ratings, visit https://tossupcentral.com/category/statehouses-2019-2020/ Safe D Likely D Toss-Up DE-CarneyWA-Inslee NC-CooperNJ-Murphy (2021) MT (Open)(D)VA (Open)(D)(2021) Lean R Likely R Safe R MO-Parson NH-SununuVT-ScottWV-Justice IN-HolcombND-BurgumUT (Open) Unless otherwise stated, party of incumbent Governor matches that of what party his state is favored to vote for.
2020 Senate Ratings
Expected Net Shift: D+2 to D+4 Want to see the logic behind these ratings? Visit https://tossupcentral.com/category/senate-2020/ Safe D Likely D Lean D Toss-Up DI-CoonsIL-DurbinMA-MarkeyNJ-BookerNM (Open)OR-MerkleyRI-ReedVA-Warner MI-SmithNH-Shaheen AZ-McSally (R)CO-Gardner (R)MI-Peters ME-Collins (R)MT-Daines (R)NC-Tillis (R) Lean R Likely R Safe R GA-LoefflerGA-PerdueIA-Ernst AL-Jones (D)AK-SullivanKS (Open)SC-GrahamTX-Cornyn AR-CottonID-RischKY-McConnellLA-CassidyMS-Hyde-SmithNE-SasseOK-InhofeSD-RoundsTN (Open)WV-CapitoWY (Open) Unless otherwise stated, the party of incumbent Senator matches […]
2019-2020 Gubernatorial Race Ratings
In 2018, Democrats gained 7 governorships, closing the once huge Republican advantage in them to a weaker one, 27-23. They are also governors for a majority of U.S. residents, despite coming short in some marquee races, like Florida, Georgia, and Ohio. Looking ahead to later in 2019, can Democrats put on a show of force […]
RIP Walter Jones, Amy Klobuchar Declares Candidacy
Rep. Walter Jones has died on his 76th birthday. He entered hospice care in late January. He was one of the most mavericky Republicans in the house, only voting with Trump 49% of the time, according to FiveThirtyEight. He also deeply opposed the Iraq War, and voted against the GOP healthcare bill and tax cuts […]
High-Stakes State Legislature Election Today in Minnesota
Today, a special election is being held for the 11th district of the Minnesota Senate, based in suburban and rural areas southwest of Duluth, that became vacant after Democrat Tony Lourey joined the cabinet of the governor. While this isn’t a congressional election, many are treating it as one. Republicans only hold a one-seat advantage […]
Senate Race Ratings 2020
Coming off the 2018 elections, where Democrats lost Senate seats due to having a lot of seats to defend in Trump country, many of them hope for a better result in the 2020 elections, gaining the 3 seats they need to flip the chamber. 2 senators from each party are up for re-election in states […]
Presidential Race 2020
Ratings for every electoral vote, in the 2020 presidential race, on the 4-tier scale (Safe, Likely, Leans, Toss-Up) If you would like to see the logic behind the presidential race ratings, click on this. Safe Biden Likely Biden Lean Biden Toss-Up CA (55)CT (7)DC (3)DE (3)HI (4)IL (20)MA (11)MD (10)ME-1 (1)NJ (14)NM (5)NY (29)OR (7)RI […]
Mark Your Calendar Y’All. First Congressional Special Election Scheduled For 2019.
After the resignation of Representative Tom Marino (R, PA-12) to take a job in the private sector, Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf just announced by twitter that the special election to decide his successor will be held May 21. This district encompasses a large chunk of Northeastern and North-Central Pennsylvania, including State College. Here’s a map. […]