Why The Following Democratic Ticket Would Be The Most Electable
There’s been a lot of talk throughout the past year about “electability” in the Democratic primary. More Democrat voters than ever say a candidate’s ability to flip the Oval Office blue is the most important factor in their decision of who to vote for. So this is an important question: What Democrat ticket would be […]
December Democrat Primary Update: JOE BIDEN Once Again the FRONTRUNNER, Kamala Out
Kamala Out Some very, very big news in the Democrat primary. Kamala Harris, on Tuesday December 3rd, exactly 2 months before the Iowa caucus, dropped out of the presidential race. Once considered to be a frontrunner, her campaign didn’t even see 2020. Before, it was hard to imagine a Harris-less Democrat primary. Now, it is […]
State Legislative Elections in Virginia: What Do They Say for 2020?
On November 5, Democrats gained eight seats in the Virginia General Assembly, 2 in the 40-member Senate, and 6 in the 100-member House, flipping the General Assembly to Democrat control. The year of the 400th anniversary of the Virginia House of Burgesses, essentially the starting point of the Commonwealth, the most liberal government Virginia has […]
A Look at The Democrat Primary 76 Days Out from Iowa
After Louisiana wrapped up its Governor race last night, the last major election of the decade, we turn to the Iowa Caucus, on February 3rd, 2020. Some unexpected developments have occurred since we last looked at the state of the primary. I’ll elaborate below. Ryan and Beto Out, Patrick and Bloomberg In: A Timeline This […]
October Congressional Ratings Changes
House Ratings Changes Since I last made a post devoted to Congressional Ratings changes late last July, situations have changed enough in 14 Congressional districts to warrant ratings changes. Most of these changes are for local and candidate-specific reasons, so they don’t say much about the national environment. District Old Rating New Rating AL-1 Likely […]
October Democrat Primary Update: Warren Claims Frontrunner Status, Harris’s Support in Free Fall
Remember at the beginning of the year when the “Big 4” for the Democrat nomination were Biden, Bernie, Beto, and Harris, when Warren was considered among the second-tier candidates at best? Those days are no more. As Beto and Harris’s polling numbers slid down, Elizabeth Warren was seen as an inspiring, rising star with a […]
Revisiting The 13 Keys To The White House
I think it’s time to re-visit the fundamentals of the presidential race, and break out Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys to the White House once again. For those unaware, Lichtman, an American University professor, created a system that has predicted the popular vote winner in every election since 1980. He also predicted Trump would be impeached […]
And Then There Were 19.
Governor Jay Inslee of Washington has dropped his no-chance bid for president. He announced it during an interview with Rachel Maddow. He said quite plainly “It’s becoming clear that I’m not going to be carrying the ball. I’m not going to be the president, so I’m withdrawing tonight from the race.” He ran a campaign […]
And Then There Were… 20?
John Hickenlooper, as anticipated, dropped his struggling presidential bid Thursday. Now all eyes are on him to see if he will run for Senate in Colorado. He’s probably the best candidate the Democrats have got in their effort to flip the Senate seat next year. But were here to talk about the presidency. Just as […]
And Then There Were 20
We’re getting to that time in the primary season where more people are leaving the race than joining it. Rep. Eric Swalwell (D, CA-15) dropped out this week. The field has been reduced from 21 to 20*. The Top 5 Polling changes after the first debate have resulted in me making many changes to the […]