Will The Democrat Debate Change Anything? If So, How?
The two candidates that struck me and the nation as having done the best job are Julian Castro on the first night and Kamala Harris on the second night. 1st Night Castro was very charismatic and his attacks on Beto regarding immigration landed. People seem to be taking him a lot more seriously now, when […]
Data Study: If a Challenge to a Congressional Incumbent Emerges Early, Does it Improve the Chance of the Seat Flipping?
An action that’s often tempting for a young politico like me early on in the election cycle is changing race ratings whenever a certain candidate/certain number of candidates declare challenges to an incumbent. I wanted to examine whether this is a valid method or if I’m just desperate for a semblance of political action where […]
What’s Up With Michigan (And Texas)?
Two crucial ratings changes are being made in the Wolverine State today, but they don’t both benefit the same party. In the presidential race, we are moving the state to Leans Democrat. It was in Toss-Up before. Right now, Michigan is the only state that Trump won, or Clinton won, for that matter, that is […]
May Democrat Primary Update: Biden Becomes The Frontrunner
Despite some negative revelations about Biden before he announced, things have gone almost exactly right for him since he announced late last month. He has gotten a lot of press, allowing him to talk about what he stands for and right some of his past wrongs, such as supporting bus segregation in the 70’s and […]
Democrat Primary/2020 House: April 2019 Update
I know I did one of these like 2 weeks ago, but a lot has happened since then I’d like to talk about. Kamala Harris is the new Democratic frontrunner. I use that term lightly, this nomination is almost as pure of a Toss-Up as it gets. But chances are you’ve heard of the two […]
Democrat Primary: March 2019 Update
Writer’s Note: I hope to do one of these every month until a nominee is selected. So, as you may (or may not) have seen already, we are making some changes to our Best-Shot Tracker. Former Vice President and Senator Joe Biden, businessman Andrew Yang and South Bend mayor Pete Buttigieg have been added. Joe […]
Beto-mania 2.0
Former El Paso congressman and famous 2018 Texas Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke has declared candidacy for President as of yesterday. He is the 10th major candidate to do so. Beto is a young, charismatic candidate who came within 3 points of unseating Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018, despite Texas’ republican lean. His opinions on any […]
This is Turning Out to Be One Heck of a Day in Elections: 2/19/19
Let’s start off with the big news. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is coming back for more. He declared a 2nd presidential bid this morning. This announcement came as a surprise to me, mainly due to age. He would be 79 during his first inauguration, smashing the old record of 73, set by Ronald Reagan. By […]
RIP Walter Jones, Amy Klobuchar Declares Candidacy
Rep. Walter Jones has died on his 76th birthday. He entered hospice care in late January. He was one of the most mavericky Republicans in the house, only voting with Trump 49% of the time, according to FiveThirtyEight. He also deeply opposed the Iraq War, and voted against the GOP healthcare bill and tax cuts […]
Presidential Race 2020
Ratings for every electoral vote, in the 2020 presidential race, on the 4-tier scale (Safe, Likely, Leans, Toss-Up) If you would like to see the logic behind the presidential race ratings, click on this. Safe Biden Likely Biden Lean Biden Toss-Up CA (55)CT (7)DC (3)DE (3)HI (4)IL (20)MA (11)MD (10)ME-1 (1)NJ (14)NM (5)NY (29)OR (7)RI […]