The Electoral Map Shifts: Biden Likely To Win, The Senate Is A Toss-Up
Last week on this website, I said that I would be surprised if Trump wins re-election. Polls just keep getting worse for him, worse than they ever were in 2016 when he won by winning three crucial Rust Belt states by less than one percentage point over Clinton. Polls show a majority of Americans agree […]
July House Update: Democrats Push The Battlefield Into Red Territory
In February, when it was looking like Bernie Sanders would be the Democratic nominee, before COVID-19 and George Floyd’s death, but after the killing of ISIS leader Baghdadi, the USMCA trade deal that de-escalated the Chinese trade war, and Trump’s acquittal by the Senate, thing were looking up for the Grand Old Party. The question […]
Can Democrats Defy The Demographics and Win in Iowa?
In the ever-shifting 2020 election cycle, one crucial state, with six electoral votes, a competitive Senate election, and three competitive House races, has proven the most difficult to gauge. The Hawkeye State, Iowa, has a political situation unlike any other state. The state is known for its farms and ruralness, has a high rate of […]
June House Update: A Few Winning Battles For Team Red, But Secured Victory Near For Team Blue
It’s been about two months since our last House update. Since then, the situaton in 15 congressional districts has changed enough to warrant ratings changes. District (Incumbent, Party) Old Rating New Rating AZ-2 (Kirkpatrick, D) Likely D Safe D CA-10 (Harder, D) Likely D Safe D CO-6 (Crow, D) Safe D Likely D FL-26 (Powell, […]
Introducing Your Presidential Frontrunner: Joe Biden
The stage has been set for the most intense, brutal, and crazy election since 1860. The 2020 presidential campaign will be an event unlike anything this country has seen in its almost 250 years of existence. If Trump’s impeachment and acquittal, the first Republican to have been acquitted of impeachment charges, and Joe Biden’s epic […]
Not All Leans Are The Same: My 4-Scale Rating System Explained
Something I’ve noticed about people’s responses to articles on this website is an apparent misunderstanding as to how my race ratings work. I haven’t really devoted a full article yet to how my rating system works, and as the election draws near, I want to rectify this. For every election for the Electoral College, Senate, […]
The Senate is a Toss-Up: 3 Ratings Changes
There have been some major developments in the last week or so that have changed the face of the battle for the Senate. At the beginning of the month, taking the Senate was an uphill endeavor for the Democratic party. Now, Democrats have a clear-cut way to get a 50-seat majority, with several backup options. […]
New Year, New Governor Ratings
The New Jersey and Virginia governor elections are now less than two years away. I rated this year’s general elections in January and February of 2019. Those two dates were also a little less than two years apart. Given the interesting developments that have occurred in both states, I feel it appropriate to give my […]