May Senate Update: Republicans Catch A Few Breaks
Of the little political action that has taken place recently, a lot of it has applied to down ballot races. One example is Mike Garcia, a Republican, winning by 10 points in a congressional district that Hillary Clinton carried by 7 points and was thought to be getting bluer. This is a big win for […]
Garcia Flying High Into Tuesday’s Special Election
In 6 days, a congressional special election will finish in California’s 25th district, north of Los Angeles. It will largely be a vote-by-mail election, as in-person voting options are limited due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Republicans hope to stave off the blue tide in California by flipping the seat, while Democrats seek to confirm their […]
As Coronavirus Takes Hold, Republican’s Chances of Flipping the House Diminish
As the coronavirus pandemic halts candidate’s fundraising, and the results of the California jungle primary become finalized, I am amending my ratings in 17 congressional districts. District Old Rating New Rating AZ-1 (O’Halleran, D) Lean D Likely D CA-21 (Cox, D) Lean D Toss-Up CA-22 (Nunes, R) Likely R Safe R CA-25 (OPEN, D) Lean […]
RIP Walter Jones, Amy Klobuchar Declares Candidacy
Rep. Walter Jones has died on his 76th birthday. He entered hospice care in late January. He was one of the most mavericky Republicans in the house, only voting with Trump 49% of the time, according to FiveThirtyEight. He also deeply opposed the Iraq War, and voted against the GOP healthcare bill and tax cuts […]
High-Stakes State Legislature Election Today in Minnesota
Today, a special election is being held for the 11th district of the Minnesota Senate, based in suburban and rural areas southwest of Duluth, that became vacant after Democrat Tony Lourey joined the cabinet of the governor. While this isn’t a congressional election, many are treating it as one. Republicans only hold a one-seat advantage […]
Mark Your Calendar Y’All. First Congressional Special Election Scheduled For 2019.
After the resignation of Representative Tom Marino (R, PA-12) to take a job in the private sector, Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Wolf just announced by twitter that the special election to decide his successor will be held May 21. This district encompasses a large chunk of Northeastern and North-Central Pennsylvania, including State College. Here’s a map. […]