The Senate is a Toss-Up: 3 Ratings Changes
There have been some major developments in the last week or so that have changed the face of the battle for the Senate. At the beginning of the month, taking the Senate was an uphill endeavor for the Democratic party. Now, Democrats have a clear-cut way to get a 50-seat majority, with several backup options. […]
Expect a Biden Sweep on Super Tuesday III
Things are looking down for Bernie Sanders. It is likely that after Tuesday, his delegate deficit will increase to 250 at the very least. After losing 5 out of 6 states last Tuesday, including all the contests with 20 or more delegates, Bernie should once again expect to be handed defeat in tomorrow’s contests, all […]
Super Tuesday II Preview
Let’s just talk about the aftermath of Super Tuesday for a little bit. Before South Carolina voted, but after getting 4th and 5th in Iowa and New Hampshire, many though it would be Joe Biden that would be behind in delegates after Super Tuesday, fighting for survival against Bernie Sanders. But after a landslide victory […]
Super Tuesday: A Timeline
After poor showings in South Carolina, Tom Steyer, Pete Buttigieg, and Amy Klobuchar have all dropped out. The latter two will endorse Joe Biden in Dallas tonight. The dream scenario has played out for anti-Bernie Democrats. Most of the moderate vote will consolidate behind one candidate headed into Super Tuesday. Biden is salivating, having two […]
February Senate Update: 3 Ratings Changes in the South
While the ongoing Democratic primary is taking up all of the attention, there are some subtle yet important developments in elections for the Senate. If a Democrat becomes president, his or her ability to actually carry out an agenda will depend on how many Democrats are in the Senate. Chances are not many Republicans lawmakers […]
Nevada Caucus Prediction and Watch Guide
At 10:00 AM local time (1:00 PM Eastern Standard Time), the third presidential nomination contest, the Nevada Caucuses, will officially start. But unfortunately, there’s no telling when the results will actually start to come in. The caucuses take time, partly because, like in Iowa, if a candidate doesn’t receive 15% of the vote at a […]
New Hampshire Primary Watch Guide and Final Prediction
The first presidential primary this year will take place in New Hampshire tomorrow. If you live there and are a registered Democrat or Independent, be sure to get in line to vote before 8 P.M. when polls close. We should begin to get results shortly after poll closings. The New Hampshire primary is conducted individually […]
Bernie Sanders Is Now The Frontrunner for the Nominaion
Prologue So everything imaginable that could’ve gone wrong with the Iowa caucus went wrong, in addition to a few unimaginable things. I stayed up until almost midnight awaiting a result we didn’t get until late Thursday night. While Pete Buttigieg appears to have won the caucus by 2 state delegate equivalents, Bernie Sanders has won […]
Iowa Caucus Watch Guide & Final Prediction
After a year of debates, campaigning, fundraising, attacks, polling surges, breakout stars, and disappointments, the first votes of the 2020 Democrat primary are a mere 29 hours away. Iowans will drive through the snowy prairie to one of over 1,500 caucuses across the state. Soon after 7 PM local time (8 PM eastern) we should […]
New Year, New Governor Ratings
The New Jersey and Virginia governor elections are now less than two years away. I rated this year’s general elections in January and February of 2019. Those two dates were also a little less than two years apart. Given the interesting developments that have occurred in both states, I feel it appropriate to give my […]