The Congressional Districts Biden Could Flip
There are 30 congressional districts represented by Democrats where Donald Trump won more votes than Hillary Clinton. There are only 6 Republican-held districts where Clinton prevailed. In theory, Republicans have more room to grow in the U.S. House. Let’s take a closer look. Where Biden Will Flip Democrat-Held Congressional Districts A lot of the congressional […]
Can Democrats Defy The Demographics and Win in Iowa?
In the ever-shifting 2020 election cycle, one crucial state, with six electoral votes, a competitive Senate election, and three competitive House races, has proven the most difficult to gauge. The Hawkeye State, Iowa, has a political situation unlike any other state. The state is known for its farms and ruralness, has a high rate of […]
June House Update: A Few Winning Battles For Team Red, But Secured Victory Near For Team Blue
It’s been about two months since our last House update. Since then, the situaton in 15 congressional districts has changed enough to warrant ratings changes. District (Incumbent, Party) Old Rating New Rating AZ-2 (Kirkpatrick, D) Likely D Safe D CA-10 (Harder, D) Likely D Safe D CO-6 (Crow, D) Safe D Likely D FL-26 (Powell, […]
May Senate Update: Republicans Catch A Few Breaks
Of the little political action that has taken place recently, a lot of it has applied to down ballot races. One example is Mike Garcia, a Republican, winning by 10 points in a congressional district that Hillary Clinton carried by 7 points and was thought to be getting bluer. This is a big win for […]
Revisiting the Presidential Race After Biden and Coronavirus
The scene of the presidential race is changing noticeably. Joe Biden has all but locked up the Democratic nomination, just as the coronavirus pandemic is taking a critical toll on America. It’s safe to say that this changes a few things. I am making 5 ratings changes to our electoral college map. State/District(Electoral Votes) Old […]
The Senate is a Toss-Up: 3 Ratings Changes
There have been some major developments in the last week or so that have changed the face of the battle for the Senate. At the beginning of the month, taking the Senate was an uphill endeavor for the Democratic party. Now, Democrats have a clear-cut way to get a 50-seat majority, with several backup options. […]
February Senate Update: 3 Ratings Changes in the South
While the ongoing Democratic primary is taking up all of the attention, there are some subtle yet important developments in elections for the Senate. If a Democrat becomes president, his or her ability to actually carry out an agenda will depend on how many Democrats are in the Senate. Chances are not many Republicans lawmakers […]
Bernie Sanders Is Now The Frontrunner for the Nominaion
Prologue So everything imaginable that could’ve gone wrong with the Iowa caucus went wrong, in addition to a few unimaginable things. I stayed up until almost midnight awaiting a result we didn’t get until late Thursday night. While Pete Buttigieg appears to have won the caucus by 2 state delegate equivalents, Bernie Sanders has won […]
Iowa Caucus Watch Guide & Final Prediction
After a year of debates, campaigning, fundraising, attacks, polling surges, breakout stars, and disappointments, the first votes of the 2020 Democrat primary are a mere 29 hours away. Iowans will drive through the snowy prairie to one of over 1,500 caucuses across the state. Soon after 7 PM local time (8 PM eastern) we should […]
January Democrat Primary Update: And Then There Were 12
New Jersey Senator Cory Booker dropped out of the presidential race Monday. This comes hot off the heels of former HUD Secretary Julian Castro and self-help author Marianne Williamson also dropping out earlier this year. Castro and Booker follow in Kamala Harris’s footsteps; candidates of color who look great and charismatic on paper but are […]