The Congressional Districts Biden Could Flip
There are 30 congressional districts represented by Democrats where Donald Trump won more votes than Hillary Clinton. There are only 6 Republican-held districts where Clinton prevailed. In theory, Republicans have more room to grow in the U.S. House. Let’s take a closer look. Where Biden Will Flip Democrat-Held Congressional Districts A lot of the congressional […]
The Electoral Map Shifts: Biden Likely To Win, The Senate Is A Toss-Up
Last week on this website, I said that I would be surprised if Trump wins re-election. Polls just keep getting worse for him, worse than they ever were in 2016 when he won by winning three crucial Rust Belt states by less than one percentage point over Clinton. Polls show a majority of Americans agree […]
June House Update: A Few Winning Battles For Team Red, But Secured Victory Near For Team Blue
It’s been about two months since our last House update. Since then, the situaton in 15 congressional districts has changed enough to warrant ratings changes. District (Incumbent, Party) Old Rating New Rating AZ-2 (Kirkpatrick, D) Likely D Safe D CA-10 (Harder, D) Likely D Safe D CO-6 (Crow, D) Safe D Likely D FL-26 (Powell, […]
May Senate Update: Republicans Catch A Few Breaks
Of the little political action that has taken place recently, a lot of it has applied to down ballot races. One example is Mike Garcia, a Republican, winning by 10 points in a congressional district that Hillary Clinton carried by 7 points and was thought to be getting bluer. This is a big win for […]
Revisiting the Presidential Race After Biden and Coronavirus
The scene of the presidential race is changing noticeably. Joe Biden has all but locked up the Democratic nomination, just as the coronavirus pandemic is taking a critical toll on America. It’s safe to say that this changes a few things. I am making 5 ratings changes to our electoral college map. State/District(Electoral Votes) Old […]
The Senate is a Toss-Up: 3 Ratings Changes
There have been some major developments in the last week or so that have changed the face of the battle for the Senate. At the beginning of the month, taking the Senate was an uphill endeavor for the Democratic party. Now, Democrats have a clear-cut way to get a 50-seat majority, with several backup options. […]
Super Tuesday II Preview
Let’s just talk about the aftermath of Super Tuesday for a little bit. Before South Carolina voted, but after getting 4th and 5th in Iowa and New Hampshire, many though it would be Joe Biden that would be behind in delegates after Super Tuesday, fighting for survival against Bernie Sanders. But after a landslide victory […]