2022 Senate Ratings
As election season winds down, we enter a new chapter in politics. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20th, 2021. Except for special elections and candidacy declarations, there won’t be much going on that will impact elections. I’ll post for the elections that do happen, such as the Georgia runoffs. I will also post […]
How Accurate Was Toss-Up Central?
Votes are still being counted in races all across the country. However, we have a pretty good idea of how each race will go. Joe Biden is the projected winner of the 2020 Presidential Election, winning 306 Electoral Votes to Trump’s 232. This is the first election cycle Toss-Up Central has covered. It’s a good […]
The Congressional Districts Biden Could Flip
There are 30 congressional districts represented by Democrats where Donald Trump won more votes than Hillary Clinton. There are only 6 Republican-held districts where Clinton prevailed. In theory, Republicans have more room to grow in the U.S. House. Let’s take a closer look. Where Biden Will Flip Democrat-Held Congressional Districts A lot of the congressional […]
July House Update: Democrats Push The Battlefield Into Red Territory
In February, when it was looking like Bernie Sanders would be the Democratic nominee, before COVID-19 and George Floyd’s death, but after the killing of ISIS leader Baghdadi, the USMCA trade deal that de-escalated the Chinese trade war, and Trump’s acquittal by the Senate, thing were looking up for the Grand Old Party. The question […]
May Senate Update: Republicans Catch A Few Breaks
Of the little political action that has taken place recently, a lot of it has applied to down ballot races. One example is Mike Garcia, a Republican, winning by 10 points in a congressional district that Hillary Clinton carried by 7 points and was thought to be getting bluer. This is a big win for […]
As Coronavirus Takes Hold, Republican’s Chances of Flipping the House Diminish
As the coronavirus pandemic halts candidate’s fundraising, and the results of the California jungle primary become finalized, I am amending my ratings in 17 congressional districts. District Old Rating New Rating AZ-1 (O’Halleran, D) Lean D Likely D CA-21 (Cox, D) Lean D Toss-Up CA-22 (Nunes, R) Likely R Safe R CA-25 (OPEN, D) Lean […]
Revisiting the Presidential Race After Biden and Coronavirus
The scene of the presidential race is changing noticeably. Joe Biden has all but locked up the Democratic nomination, just as the coronavirus pandemic is taking a critical toll on America. It’s safe to say that this changes a few things. I am making 5 ratings changes to our electoral college map. State/District(Electoral Votes) Old […]
The Senate is a Toss-Up: 3 Ratings Changes
There have been some major developments in the last week or so that have changed the face of the battle for the Senate. At the beginning of the month, taking the Senate was an uphill endeavor for the Democratic party. Now, Democrats have a clear-cut way to get a 50-seat majority, with several backup options. […]
Super Tuesday: A Timeline
After poor showings in South Carolina, Tom Steyer, Pete Buttigieg, and Amy Klobuchar have all dropped out. The latter two will endorse Joe Biden in Dallas tonight. The dream scenario has played out for anti-Bernie Democrats. Most of the moderate vote will consolidate behind one candidate headed into Super Tuesday. Biden is salivating, having two […]
February Senate Update: 3 Ratings Changes in the South
While the ongoing Democratic primary is taking up all of the attention, there are some subtle yet important developments in elections for the Senate. If a Democrat becomes president, his or her ability to actually carry out an agenda will depend on how many Democrats are in the Senate. Chances are not many Republicans lawmakers […]