2022 Senate Ratings
As election season winds down, we enter a new chapter in politics. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20th, 2021. Except for special elections and candidacy declarations, there won’t be much going on that will impact elections. I’ll post for the elections that do happen, such as the Georgia runoffs. I will also post […]
The Congressional Districts Biden Could Flip
There are 30 congressional districts represented by Democrats where Donald Trump won more votes than Hillary Clinton. There are only 6 Republican-held districts where Clinton prevailed. In theory, Republicans have more room to grow in the U.S. House. Let’s take a closer look. Where Biden Will Flip Democrat-Held Congressional Districts A lot of the congressional […]
The Electoral Map Shifts: Biden Likely To Win, The Senate Is A Toss-Up
Last week on this website, I said that I would be surprised if Trump wins re-election. Polls just keep getting worse for him, worse than they ever were in 2016 when he won by winning three crucial Rust Belt states by less than one percentage point over Clinton. Polls show a majority of Americans agree […]
July House Update: Democrats Push The Battlefield Into Red Territory
In February, when it was looking like Bernie Sanders would be the Democratic nominee, before COVID-19 and George Floyd’s death, but after the killing of ISIS leader Baghdadi, the USMCA trade deal that de-escalated the Chinese trade war, and Trump’s acquittal by the Senate, thing were looking up for the Grand Old Party. The question […]
As Coronavirus Takes Hold, Republican’s Chances of Flipping the House Diminish
As the coronavirus pandemic halts candidate’s fundraising, and the results of the California jungle primary become finalized, I am amending my ratings in 17 congressional districts. District Old Rating New Rating AZ-1 (O’Halleran, D) Lean D Likely D CA-21 (Cox, D) Lean D Toss-Up CA-22 (Nunes, R) Likely R Safe R CA-25 (OPEN, D) Lean […]
Revisiting the Presidential Race After Biden and Coronavirus
The scene of the presidential race is changing noticeably. Joe Biden has all but locked up the Democratic nomination, just as the coronavirus pandemic is taking a critical toll on America. It’s safe to say that this changes a few things. I am making 5 ratings changes to our electoral college map. State/District(Electoral Votes) Old […]